Sunday, September 11, 2016

Home Stretch Not Going Smoothly

Things don't always go well for the end of presidential administrations.  And before you accuse me of being distasteful, no, I am not referring to Lincoln, Garfield, McKinley and Kennedy.  In the modern era alone, LBJ was unable to bring a dignified end to the Viet Nam War, and announced in 1968 that he would refuse to accept his party's nomination to take another run at the presidency.  He added, for effect, "And if elected, I shall not serve."  Tricky Dick was forced to resign under pressure in 1974 when he realized his tenure was on life support following Watergate.  Gerry Ford lost his bid for re-election in '76 mostly due to the voters' refusal to forgive him for pardoning his former boss, Nixon.  Jimmy Carter was humiliated by the Iranians, whose final dagger was releasing American hostages, held captive for well over a year, on the very day the peanut farmer left the White House, January 20, 1981.  George H.W. Bush wanted to serve a second term, but lost by over 200 Electoral College votes to Slick Willie in 1992.  Clinton, the first baby boomer president, brought disgrace to the White House and was impeached by the House Of Representatives in the second half of his second term.  Although acquitted by the Senate, the names "Clinton" and "Lewinsky" shall forever be linked in history.  He is also famous for finger wagging while lying to his constituents.  As for the second Bush, will anyone ever forget his immortal words, "Mission accomplished?"  Only Ronald Reagan, who survived an assassination attempt less than three months into his first of two terms, is an outlier from this group.

So this brings us to the incumbent, President Obama.  How are things going as he heads into the last one hundred or so days in office.?  One does not have to undertake a massive research project to get a feel for the answer.  Yesterday's front page headline in the Star Tribune read, "North Korean [Nuclear] Test A Grave Threat."  Maybe President Dub wasn't too far off when he labeled North Korea and Iran the "axis of evil."  The pajama-clad lunatic running North Korea, Kim Jong Un, is dangerously unpredictable.  And the Iranians enjoy playing war games in the Gulf Of Hormuz, daring our navy to blast them out of the water.  It's hard to imagine our president has many waking hours when the threat posed by those two countries does not weigh heavily on his mind.

Speaking of the Iranians, Obama claims that the $400 million paid by the US to them in January simultaneously with the release of American hostages was merely a coincidence, not ransom.  Hmm.  If so, why cash?  I guess the Swiss banks, which the US usually uses for transactions with countries where we don't have a commercial relationship, were closed that day.
 
Within the last two weeks it has been reported that the US negotiations with the twenty-eight member European Union regarding free trade (the Transatlantic Trade & Investment Partnership, aka TTIP) has gotten nowhere, despite Canada's success at a similar  arrangement with the EU.  Twenty-seven "chapters" of the TTIP have been negotiated between the US and the EU this year.  On how many of those twenty-seven has agreement been reached?  Answer: zero.  A subplot to this news is that the Democrats are the party which is most eager to consummate this deal.  Their stated goal is to put pen to paper by year's end.  Good luck.
 
Also within the last ten days we've learned that Turkey, one of our most important NATO allies, is conducting air strikes on the Kurds in northern Syria.  This is, indeed, strange behavior given the fact that the Kurds' brave battle against ISIS is being militarily backed by US air strikes, intelligence and tactical advisors.  To recap, our supposed ally is killing the people we have chosen to lead the ground fight against ISIS in Syria.  I thought the US was supposed to be the most superior military in the world.  How do we let Turkey get away with this?  Where is our commander-in-chief?  Turkey's leaders, perhaps a bit paranoid, think the US was behind the failed coup which rocked their country last month.  Vice President Biden even paid a visit to Turkish President Recep Erdogan to assure him that we were not behind the coup.  That was the wrong primary topic and the wrong primary message.  It's hard to imagine President Reagan dispatching an underling for that purpose.  Biden's message should have been, "Stop bombing our guys or we won't send you another nickel."
 
It is commonly believed that Obama's legacy will greatly hinge on the continued success of Obamacare.  That national health plan almost terminated out of the shoot when the legality of a key element of the plan, mandatory purchase of insurance by individuals who may not otherwise have desired to buy it, was challenged.  The plan has managed to survive for the time being, notwithstanding a thumbs down vote by the swing voter on the US Supreme Court, Justice Anthony Kennedy.  Usually Kennedy's vote determines the outcome of every case decided by a divided court.  However, Chief Justice John Roberts, perhaps not wanting to go down in history as the man whose court killed Obamacare, surprisingly sided with the liberal wing and voted for the constitutional  permissibility of mandatory insurance.  Still, warning flags are out for the future longevity of the president's health coverage plan, which has generally met with disapproval by small businesses.  Spikes in insurance premiums are prevalent, making it hard for the plan's supporters to assert that it benefits the middle class.  Some families, upon finding out about their skyrocketing premiums, are opting to pay the government-imposed fine rather than re-up for the following year.  Several insurers are bailing after losing millions of dollars.  If Donald Trump becomes the next president, putting an end to Obamacare will be high on his list.  No wonder the prez is making time to campaign for Hillary.
 
Two of President Obama's personal decisions made in August have also been severely criticized by his political opponents.  First, while old folks, the infirm and a variety of household pets were being rescued off of rooftops in severely flooded Baton Rogue, Louisiana and its environs, the president was playing golf near Cape Cod, Massachusetts.  Days later, when he finally showed up to survey the disaster area, he said, "I guarantee ya, when help arrives those flood victims won't care if the provider is a Democrat or a Republican."  Well, yes, that's true; and ice cream has no bones.  But...
 
Secondly, when given the option to have his future presidential library built in either of two Chicago South Side neighborhoods,  the impoverished Washington Park, which desperately could use an infusion of dollars, or Jackson Park, a relatively upscale area along the Lake Michigan shore, the Chicagoan chose the latter.  As the Republicans were quick to point out, there is a difference between talking the talk and walking the walk.
 
While we're on Chicago, the Windy City is on a course to be the scene of over 800 homicides this calendar year.  As of September 1, more murders had been committed in Chicago, the nation's third largest city, than in New York (largest) and Los Angeles (second largest) combined.  Who is running the show in the City Of Big Shoulders?  It's Mayor Rahm Emanuel, who was picked by Obama eight years ago to be his first Chief of Staff.  Is it fair to link the president with the failed mayor?  I would say "no," but then again who claims politics is fair?  Emanuel's time at Obama's right hand were often, shall we say, less than pleasant, and there were not a whole lot of insiders who were sorry to see him leave for his current position.
 
What about the president's secretary of state, Mrs. Clinton?  Even the FBI Director, James Comey, who was appointed by Obama, called Clinton's intentional security lapses "extremely careless."  Yet, in a head-scratching conclusion, after laying out the facts regarding Clinton's disregard for the law which arguably imperiled (among others) our military, he chose not to charge her with a crime.  My take:  Just as was the case with the aforementioned Chief Justice Roberts, Comey did not want to be the guy who would be responsible for such a major impact on the course of history, i.e., the withdrawal of a major party's presidential nominee from the November ballots.  With President Harry Truman, who, by the way, was a Democrat, the buck stopped at his desk.  Does that platitude hold water with the Obama administration?  And since I'm asking that question, how have the veterans, especially those depending on the Veterans' Administration for their medical needs, been faring under the Obama regime?
 
Perhaps trumping -- no pun intended -- all other issues is the question of how President Obama performed as commander-in-chief.  I believe it was in the Washington Post where I read that when Obama took office the United States was at war in nine countries, meaning that's how many countries in which we either had ground troops (including special forces) stationed in the line of fire or we were supplying air support to allies' ground troops.  That number has grown to fourteen during the last eight years, a reflection of how violent and dangerous the world has become.  That growth is also a reflection of how important the role of commander-in-chief of our military has become.
 
As a sports fan, I can't help but notice how a pitcher will usually put his glove to his mouth so that lip readers can't decipher what he's saying to his catcher.  Same thing in football, where the coaches use their play sheet as a shield to obscure what they are saying into their headset microphone.  If that is smart protocol for something as unimportant as baseball or football, why is it not so important when the lives of thousands of American troops are at stake?  Here is what Commander-in-Chief Obama said on October 21, 2011:  "I can report that, as promised, the rest of our troops in Iraq will come home by the end of the year.  After nearly nine years, America's war in Iraq will be over." Unbelievably, two and a-half years later, Obama made the same mistake when, on May 26, 2014, he announced that he would order the withdrawal of all American troops from Afghanistan by the end of 2014.  Nothing like tipping your hand!  Many foreign affairs experts attribute the rise of ISIS in Iraq, if not the emboldened continued presence of the Taliban in Afghanistan, to Obama's disclosures.  The bad guys lied in the weeds until the US presence was drastically diminished, then having only the woefully inept local national armies to deal with.  There is an old saying that the reason we study history is so we don't repeat the mistakes of the past.  Of course, Obama comes from a background of constitutional law and community organizing, not military strategy.  Still, I thought he, too, was a sports fan who twice should have known better.
 
We have seen how the pressure of holding the office of president has aged the men who have served in that capacity, especially those who were in the job for eight years.  Part of it has to do with the natural aging process.  Even butchers, bakers and candlestick makers will look older in the present than they did eight years ago.  But as noted above, going into the home stretch of a presidential term is not a cake walk, and the Obama administration will be no exception.  The president, who already looks weary, might be in for an unpleasant final act.  His record is almost complete for the historians to judge.  Unfortunately for Obama, the Clinton-Trump campaign, particularly the debates, is likely to revisit many of the topics covered in this post.  The tenor of the campaign continues to be one of the nastiest ever.  Many verbal darts will be thrown Obama's way.  The outcome in November will impact Obama's legacy because, as is true with each presidential election, the November vote will be to some extent a public referendum on the Obama presidency.   I'm sure the president is looking forward to the day when he can hand over the reigns to his successor, whoever that may be, and retire to the serene confines of Chicago's South Side.  If Hillary currently commands a fee of $250,000 for private speaking engagements, what do you think a former president will get?

No comments:

Post a Comment